Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
MSST 41, SC 34. MSST covered by 10, over by 15.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
Each capper counts once. See their picks
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 3 common opponents
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
L 27-49 away -22 · +7.5 Didn't cover | L 20-29 away -9 · +10.5 Covered | |
L 19-38 home -19 · +7.5 Didn't cover | L 14-30 away -16 · +13.5 Didn't cover | |
L 9-31 away -22 · +17.5 Didn't cover | L 30-31 away -1 · +16.5 Covered |
Against 3 common opponents: Mississippi St lost by 21.0 on average, 0-3 against the spread. South Carolina lost by 8.7 on average, 2-1 against the spread.
What the public cappers like
Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Mississippi State, Kirk Herbstreit on South Carolina, Desmond Howard on Mississippi State, Pat McAfee on South Carolina, Nick Saban on Mississippi State
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Betting form, 2026 to date
Mississippi State WWWWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Road | 2-0 100%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-1 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
South Carolina WLLLLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 33%Small sample | 4-2 67% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-3 25%Small sample | 3-1 75% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-3 25%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | MSST 41, SC 34 | SC -3 | MSST covered | 59.5 | Over |
| Sep 23, 2023 | MSST 30, SC 37 | SC -6 | SC covered | 47 | Over |
Mississippi State 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
| SC | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-3 |
| 4-1 | Against the spread | 2-4 |
| 3-2 | Over-under | 4-2 |
| +6 | Avg cover margin | +1.8 |
| 39.0 | Points per game | 37.7 |
| 28.0 | Points allowed | 25.5 |
| 6.60 | Yards per play | 6.37 |
| 487.0 | Yards per game | 474.7 |
| 4.80 | Rush yards per carry | 6.00 |
| 65.7 | Completion % | 61.8 |
| 48.4 | Third down % | 47.7 |
| +0 | Turnover margin | +1 |
| 13 | Sacks allowed | 10 |
| 69.8 | Penalty yards per game | 58.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

