CFB · 2026 betting profile
Marshall Thundering Herd
3-3 straight up · 1-5 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #126 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameTue Oct 20, 7:30 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
vs
South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama JaguarsSpreadMarshall +2.5
Total60.5
Moneyline+114
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-5 | 17% | Small sample | -12.8 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -14.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -11 |
| Favorite | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -10.4 |
| Underdog | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -17.5 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -12 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -13.1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -11 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +0.3 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.2 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Coastal Carolina | L 21-27 | -4.5 | L -10.5 | 57.5 | U -9.5 |
| Oct 3 | at James Madison | L 17-45 | +14.5 | L -13.5 | 55.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | W 36-35 | -24.5 | L -23.5 | 56.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Missouri State | W 30-24 | -4 | W +2 | 52.5 | O +1.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 28-26 | -11.5 | L -9.5 | 56.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Penn State | L 0-45 | +23.5 | L -21.5 | 53.5 | U -8.5 |
Close is Marshall's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 17% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | -12.8 |
| 2025 | 5-7 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 12-1 | 92% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +8 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -7.2 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 3-10 | 23% | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -0.9 |
| 2020 | 7-3 | 5-5 | 50% | Small sample | 5-5 | 50% | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -4.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.