OfftheNumber
Oregon Ducks
3-2, 2-3 ATS
41
at
19USC Trojans
6-1, 2-5 ATS
27
FinalNBCPeacock

Closing number

Spread
ORE -3.5
USC +3.5
Open –
Total
Over 60.5
Under 60.5

Source: DraftKings.

ORE 41, USC 27. ORE covered by 10.5, over by 7.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

SpreadSplit 3-3
Oregon 33 USC
Total2 of 2 on Over
Over 20 Under
Moneyline3 of 5 on USC
Oregon 23 USC

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 2 common opponents
Opponent Oregon USC
Iowa
W 18-16 away
+2 · -4.5 Didn't cover
W 26-21 home
+5 · -6.5 Didn't cover
Northwestern
W 34-14 away
+20 · -24.5 Didn't cover
W 38-17 home
+21 · -14.5 Covered

Against 2 common opponents: Oregon won by 11.0 on average, 0-2 against the spread. USC won by 13.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
3 Oregon3 USC
USC +3.53
Stanford Steve 1u*Line +3.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 11:59 AM ET · Record 12-12 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy 1u*Line +3 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postJosh Pate 3u*Line +3.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 3u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 23 6:45 PM ET · Record 34-31 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Oregon +33
Trent Attyah 5u*Line +3.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 5u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 9:58 AM ET · Record 20-29-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postBig Cat 1u*Line +3 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 25 10:30 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco 1u*Line +3 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original post
Total
2 Over0 Under
Over 62.52
Big Cat 1u*Line 62.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postTom Fornelli 1uLine 61.5 · Price -115 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 9:10 AM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on USC, Kirk Herbstreit on Oregon, Desmond Howard on USC, Pat McAfee on USC, Nick Saban on Oregon

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Oregon LLWWL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample4-1 80% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite2-3 40%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

USC WLLLLW

ATSTotals
All games2-5 29%Small sample4-3 57% overSmall sample
Home1-4 20%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
As underdog0-1 0%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

7 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 26, 2026ORE 41, USC 27ORE -3.5ORE covered60.5Over
Nov 22, 2025USC 27, ORE 42ORE -12.5ORE covered60.5Over
Nov 11, 2023USC 27, ORE 36ORE -16.5USC covered78Under
Dec 18, 2020ORE 31, USC 24USC -3ORE covered65.5Under
Nov 2, 2019ORE 56, USC 24ORE -3.5ORE covered60Over

Oregon 4-1 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

OREUSC
3-2Record6-1
2-3Against the spread2-5
4-1Over-under4-3
-5.2Avg cover margin-5.3
41.0Points per game36.4
22.0Points allowed25.1
6.48Yards per play6.58
458.8Yards per game462.4
4.30Rush yards per carry4.30
67.2Completion %68.6
41.5Third down %51.2
+8Turnover margin+3
8Sacks allowed7
63.2Penalty yards per game55.7

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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