Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
FLA 17, MIZ 45. MIZ covered by 33.5, over by 4.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
Each capper counts once. See their picks
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 2 common opponents
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
W 23-21 home +2 · -9.5 Didn't cover | W 49-27 home +22 · -7.5 Covered | |
L 17-34 away -17 · +6.5 Didn't cover | L 17-38 home -21 · +6.5 Didn't cover |
Against 2 common opponents: Florida lost by 7.5 on average, 0-2 against the spread. Missouri won by 0.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread.
What the public cappers like
Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Florida, Kirk Herbstreit on Florida, Desmond Howard on Florida, Pat McAfee on Florida, Nick Saban on Florida
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Betting form, 2026 to date
Florida WLWWLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 4-2 67% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-3 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Missouri LWLLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 3-3 50% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-2 50%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-1 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FLA 17, MIZ 45 | FLA -5.5 | MIZ covered | 57.5 | Over |
| Nov 18, 2023 | FLA 31, MIZ 33 | MIZ -12.5 | FLA covered | 56 | Over |
| Oct 8, 2022 | MIZ 17, FLA 24 | FLA -11 | MIZ covered | 53.5 | Under |
| Nov 20, 2021 | FLA 23, MIZ 24 | FLA -9.5 | MIZ covered | 68.5 | Under |
| Oct 31, 2020 | MIZ 17, FLA 41 | FLA -13.5 | FLA covered | 63.5 | Under |
| Nov 16, 2019 | FLA 23, MIZ 6 | FLA -6.5 | FLA covered | 51 | Under |
Florida 3-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
| MIZ | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 5-1 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread | 3-3 |
| 4-2 | Over-under | 3-3 |
| -4.1 | Avg cover margin | +4.6 |
| 41.7 | Points per game | 35.8 |
| 29.0 | Points allowed | 17.7 |
| 6.66 | Yards per play | 6.30 |
| 473.8 | Yards per game | 438.2 |
| 5.00 | Rush yards per carry | 4.70 |
| 72.1 | Completion % | 64.1 |
| 45.2 | Third down % | 42.2 |
| +4 | Turnover margin | +8 |
| 8 | Sacks allowed | 6 |
| 77.8 | Penalty yards per game | 64.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

